October 23rd, 2009

The flu revisited

Here are the latest numbers for my country (Oct 23 / Oct 30 / Nov 6 / Nov 13th / Nov 20th / Nov 27th / Dec 4th)

  • Inhabitants: 17 mln
  • Total number of people admitted to hospital because of H1N1: 205 / 335 / 611 / 909 / 1270 / 1587 / 1969
  • Total deceased: 6 / 10 / 17 / 22 / 28 / 36 / 42
  • Of those 205 / 335 / 611 / 909 / 1270 / 1587 / 1969, people with other serious diseases: 61 / 195 / 382 / 605 / 828 / 1162
  • People with other serious diseases deceased: 5 / 8 / 14 / 17 / 23 / 31 / 36

Peaking now (Oct 30) is age group 0-4 years old, which is normal for any flu.

Earlier on the nest: The flu

Update Dec 6th: This will be my last update. If a totally different pattern emerges, I’ll start a new post.

Update Nov 27: Got my second shot the day before yesterday. As you can see the numbers per week are going down now, with the exception of the deceased: all though now have a serious other condition, so the H1N1 is (excuse my wording) tipping them over the edge. On the same note: My country bought 34 million shots, enough to have every citizen vaccinated twice. It has been decided now to sell 19 million shots to countries with shortages. It’s over.

Well, kinda sorta. It is over in most of Europe and Northern America according to the WHO, but the there was a steep increase in the death toll worldwide.

Update Nov 23rd: Sorry for the delayed update. See numbers abobe. Nothing to add really.

Update Nov 13th: Incidents are stabilizing and this is still considered a mild flu epidemic. Note that H1N1 vaccination started a week ago, and should not have influenced these numbers yet. Given immunity buildup will start next week, I unscientifically predict the top of the curve will be next week. This week is breaking the “doubling per week” trend already.

Update Nov 9th: Based on advice given by the relevant medical committee (“gezondheidsraad”), the administration decided to also start vaccinating age group 6 months – 4 years old. Furthermore all staff in medical profession is strongly advised to be vaccinated as well. Other than that, it’s the normal target group: 60+, diabetes-, heart- and lung patients, people with reduced immunity systems.

Update Nov 7th: I found this interesting statistic: In my country (see numbers above), average yearly fatalities on influenza, in almost all cases caused by either a lung infection or cardiac arrest, is a whopping 800, mind you with a regular vaccination regime. Given the fatalities so far and and the prediction that H1N1 will peak here in about 2 weeks, and that all numbers are doubling each week, I dare to unscientifically predict the total number of fatalities will be on the lower end of the 100-150 range.

Update Nov 3rd: Things are moving fast now. There is no seasonal influenza here (yet), but 9  out of patients visiting a doctor with flu like symptoms do have H1N1. Seasonal flu shots were to start start this week, with H1N1 2 later and a secondary again 2 weeks later. Today I found a letter from the health center that plans have changed. THIS week I will get my H1N1 shot one one more 3 weeks later. Seasonal flu shot is pushed back to early December.

October 21st, 2009

The apologize

Sometimes, when I chat or email with people from the US, especially in the pre-Obama era, there was a sort of almost un-American attitude seeping though like “you know, we are not ALL the bunch of idiots you hear from, please know there are people with actual brains”, of course referring to GOP politics, international isolationism and the ongoing wars. I always found that rather amusing as of course the public actions of politicians and government has not that much to do with the average person.

What I didn’t really expect is that now have to do the same to you. Anti-Islam idiot Wilders, was invited by conservative “activist” David Horowitz at Philadelphia University. Luckily, in the US it is more commonplace than here to be able to extreme views, with the interesting effect nobody seems to be getting really upset and the issuer can blow off steam. Anyway……

PHILADELPHIA – Geert Wilders is Tuesday at Temple University in Philadelphia received the American city by demonstrators. They carried banners with texts like “Zionism is Terrorism” and “shame, Temple” , local media reported.

Wilders was invited by the conservative activist David Horowitz to Philadelphia. He showed his film Fitna and held a half hours of speech.  At the end of his speech the politician was unable to  answer questions from audience because oof the loud boo-ing. The public was divided on Wilders word: boo-ing an cheering.

The university was strictly secured. Students had previously opposed the arrival of Wilders, but the university said more importance to freedom of expression than the views of the student.

I am sorry. Really, we are not ALL like this idiot you hear from, please know there are people with actual brains.икони

October 11th, 2009

Video

The video plug-in seems to have gone banana’s. I’ll see what I can do.

Hmm, seems to be Firefox related, Chrome and IE do play.

Update: It was an update of an add-on, Page Speed to version 1.3, so probably most of you didn’t even notice, d’uhh

October 11th, 2009

The brain tumor

This is not a very nest-like post I guess. Last Thursday, a guy I worked with quite a bit at a client of mine passed away at age 36. He was diagnosed with a brain tumor about a year ago. As far as understand, if inoperable, it is next to impossible to eradicate those and the prognosis is almost always not good.

Understandably, he let them throw everything at him that was possible, to see if something would stick, up to the point his body was so bloated I did not recognize him on a picture he blogged (he did blog until a couple of weeks ago sharing what was happening to him, until he couldn’t anymore and his wife took over, occasionally). When there was no hope of recovery, something that dawned a few months ago, treatments like that were stopped and for the short time he had left, he looked pretty OK again. I was very, very impressed how he and maybe even more his wife was handling this.

J. is leaving behind his wife and young child, I think the kid is 3 years old. It is very, very sad.

October 3rd, 2009

The Irish “yes”

Today, in a people’s vote, the Irish votes “yes” for the Lisbon treaty. It might seem small news on the worlds chessboard, but it a way it isn’t. The European Union is far from a state (like the US). It’s sovereign countries, who, in essence agreed to cooperate on several legislative issues, such as agriculture support, trade rules, free travel and work laws, etc. There is no “European government”, so in essence it is a highly politicized, treaty, give and take oriented institution. It works, but it is also highly inefficient and sometimes bizarre. Add the different native languages spoken by the member states and you get the picture.

The Lisbon treaty is a treaty that does some some power reshuffling and maybe the most important thing is, tosses out stifling veto rights by individual member states. Now, Lisbon can only be implemented if all 27 member states agree on it. Until today all but three did, the three being Ireland, Poland and the Czech republic. The last two it’s their respective presidents doing the stalling (while parliament ratified the treaty), in Ireland it was the people who voted the first version down.

Now at that first vote-down, Ireland was the unions fastest economic grower, and I do dare to say some arrogance got hold of them. Today, Ireland is one of the worst affected countries in the EU by the current crisis. Unemployment is skyrocketing.

Isn’t it interesting that taking, not giving prevails also in the higher powers huh? Does this sound a bit like bankrupt Iceland now trying to join the EU? Anyway, good development. The EU needs to be more efficient and less bureaucratic. It all takes an insane amount of time, but we’re getting there.

Update: Poland ratified. One to go.

Update November 9th: A bit late to report, the Czech republic ratified November 3rd. It’s official.

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